← Card Merchant Westcity Auckland Regionals (PTM)

Wind Astra ClericTier 1

at Card Merchant Westcity Auckland Regionals (PTM)

decks
4 (10.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
18 11-5-2
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
61.4% avg ELO +4.5 per match
expected value
57.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.8% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1394 · median 1416 · range 1315–1430 (4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1073 Q1 1194 Q3 1430 1599
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Aetherwing 10.5% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 10.5% 3 3-0-0 100.0% 71.4% 76.7% +19.9
Water Umbra Guardian 7.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.4% +7.1
Fire Crux Mage 5.3% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 63.3% +12.8
Fire Firebloom Burn 5.3% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 5.3% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 36.0% -13.5
Water Allies 5.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.4% +13.5
Wind Seiryuu 5.3% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.3% -1.1
Wind Wakeup Combo 5.3% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 65.3% +14.7
Fire Alice 2.6% 0
Fire Crux Merlin 2.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.4% +10.3
Fire Exia 2.6% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 43.0% -6.7
Fire Luxem Assassin 2.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.2% -11.0
Fire Suited 2.6% 0
Fire Suzaku 2.6% 0
Water Aetherwing 2.6% 0
Water Astra Ranger 2.6% 0
Water Fractal 2.6% 0
Water Genbu 2.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.7% -18.0
Wind Umbra Alice 2.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.3% +5.2
Decklists · 4 from this event

The 4 public Wind Astra Cleric decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 32 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 32 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Scout the Land +1.00 2 0 0
Spellshield: Astra -1.00 0 2 0
Unyielding Wraithguard +1.00 2 0 0
Beseech the Winds +1.00 2 0 0
Ensnaring Fumes +1.00 2 0 0
Orbiting Cosmos -1.00 0 2 0
Mirrorbound Covenant +1.00 2 0 0
Zephyr +1.00 2 0 0
Calming Breeze +0.50 1 0 1
Alkahest +0.50 1 0 1
Astral Seal -0.50 0 1 1
Heavenly Guide -0.50 0 1 0
Necklace of Foresight -0.50 0 1 0
Lost Providence +0.50 1 0 1
Chalice of Blood +0.50 1 0 1
Safeguard Amulet +0.50 1 0 1
Regenerate -0.50 0 1 0
Arrow Trap -0.50 0 1 0
Lunar Seer +0.50 1 0 1
Orb of Sealing -0.50 0 1 0
Mnemonic Charm -0.50 0 1 0
Dawn's Reversal -0.50 0 1 0
Unmake Duality -0.50 0 1 0
Tricastles of Lucenia -0.50 0 1 0
The Looking Glass -0.50 0 1 0
Regal Inquisition -0.50 0 1 0
Indolent Leisure -0.50 0 1 0
Annul Spell -0.50 0 1 0
Topsy Decree +0.00 1 1 0
Tend the Land +0.00 1 1 0
Fast Cure +0.00 1 1 0
Scatter Essence +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/43064/archetypes/Wind Astra Cleric